We reflect on epidemiological modeling conducted throughout the COVID-19 pandemic in Western Europe, specifically in Belgium, France, Italy, the Netherlands, Portugal, Switzerland, and the United ...

COVID-19 prediction models are characterized by uncertainties due to fluctuating parameters, such as changes in infection or recovery rates. While deterministic models often predict epidemic peaks too ...

Phylodynamic inference methods use pathogen sequence data to estimate epidemiological quantities such as the basic reproduction number and to reconstruct epidemiological patterns of incidence and ...

Berkeley Lab researchers will lead a three-year, $12 million effort to create a generalized exascale tool for epidemiological modeling Epidemiological models are indispensable tools for predicting, ...

A recent breakthrough study has introduced a novel methodology that significantly enhances the accuracy of epidemiological estimates for infectious diseases like COVID-19. The study, titled ...

During the COVID-19 pandemic, Latin American and Caribbean countries implemented stringent public health and social measures that disrupted economic and social activities. This study used an ...

Compartment models have been proposed in the 1920s as a model for the spread of an infectious disease in a society, in a famous article by Kermack and ...

Inspired by tensions between health and financial well-being during the COVID-19 pandemic, a new model could significantly improve predictions of how disease will spread by acknowledging the ...

We're increasingly aware of how misinformation can influence elections. About 73% of Americans report seeing misleading election news, and about half struggle to discern what is true or false. When it ...

Inspired by tensions between health and financial well-being during the COVID-19 pandemic, a new model could significantly improve predictions of how disease will spread by acknowledging the tradeoffs ...

The joint research team has developed a new estimation method that overcomes the fundamental limitations of conventional epidemiological parameter estimation. (left) Conventional methods assume ...

A recent breakthrough study has introduced a novel methodology that significantly enhances the accuracy of epidemiological estimates for infectious diseases like COVID-19. A recent breakthrough study ...